UNIVERSITY OF CYPRUS · JULY 2026

Substance, Process and Intercommunal Relations

Greek Cypriot Public Opinion on the Cyprus Issue

A research platform presenting weighted findings from the July 2026 survey, with supporting graphs, research workbooks and methodological information.

824 usable cases · 779 valid v4 weightsFieldwork: 10–31 July 2026

Universities, research partners and funding

University of Cyprus, UCFS, University of Warwick and INCLUSIVEPEACE ORA7 funding acknowledgements, including research ethics approval
Executive Summary

What the July 2026 evidence shows

The survey depicts a society that overwhelmingly considers the present situation unfair, remains open to more than one constitutional alternative, prefers renewed diplomatic activity, and continues to experience limited everyday contact across the communal divide.

92.4%

judge the status quo unfair.

75.3%

accept or tolerate a bizonal, bicommunal federation (BBF).

84.9%

report at least some knowledge of what BBF is.

29.1%

answer “don’t know” when asked about the fairness of the Crans-Montana convergences.

82.8%

prefer an active route for renewed negotiations.

51.7%

report no contact with Turkish Cypriots.

Public evidence 01

Substance

How Greek Cypriots evaluate the current situation, alternative constitutional arrangements, their own knowledge of BBF, and the fairness of the Crans-Montana convergences.

Figure 1. Acceptability of constitutional alternatives

BBF accepted or tolerated75.3%Unitary state accepted or tolerated70.3%Status quo accepted or tolerated59.1%Two-state solution accepted or tolerated33.3%Status quo judged unfair92.4%

The fairness item and the acceptability items measure different concepts. Acceptance includes respondents who support an option and those who could tolerate it if necessary.

Knowledge of BBF

84.9%report at least some knowledge
54.4%say they know it quite or very well

These are respondents’ self-assessments of knowledge, not the result of an objective knowledge test.

Figure 2. Fairness of the Crans-Montana convergences

Fair43.5%Unfair56.5%Don’t know29.1%

Fair/unfair percentages are calculated among respondents expressing a substantive fairness judgment. “Don’t know” is reported among respondents answering the item, so the percentages have different denominators.

Public evidence 02

Hopes & Concerns

The figures below present respondents’ baseline answers on the hopes and concerns they associate with a possible BBF settlement, recorded before arguments about the settlement were presented.

Figure 3. Baseline hopes

Property return / compensation36.8%Freedom of movement / settlement36.3%Jobs for young people23.1%No proposed hope selected39.0%

Figure 4. Baseline concerns

Refugees may not return to properties52.1%Political deadlock / dysfunction41.8%More daily tensions28.1%Cost for citizens19.4%

Multiple responses were possible, so percentages do not sum to 100%.

Public evidence 03

Process

More than eight in ten respondents prefer an active route for renewed negotiations.

Figure 5. Preferred route for renewed negotiations

Restart from Crans-Montana38.7%Citizens’ assemblies22.2%Staged / interim implementation21.9%Do not restart negotiations17.2%

The three active routes sum to 82.8%.

Public evidence 04

Intercommunal Relations

Everyday contact remains limited, while average affect toward Turkish Cypriots is moderately positive.

Figure 6. Frequency of contact

No contact51.7%Less than monthly32.4%Monthly or more15.9%Weekly or more8.3%

Warmth and contact

57.5/100 mean warmth

55.6% are above the neutral point, 18.3% at neutral and 26.1% below neutral.

r = .327weighted contact–warmth association

BBF acceptance/tolerance ranges from 70.3% among those reporting no contact to 87.4% among those reporting weekly-or-more contact. These associations are correlational.

Integrated Research Report

Reading the findings together

The integrated report brings together constitutional acceptability, BBF knowledge, Crans-Montana evaluations, baseline hopes and concerns, process preferences, intercommunal relations and the methodology.

Methods and transparency

Research design

Sample824 usable cases

Final analytical sample.

Weighting779 valid weights

Calibrated to CYSTAT 2021 by age, gender and current district of residence.

Precisionneff = 418.7

Kish design effect 1.86; design-adjusted benchmark approximately ±4.8 percentage points.

Fieldwork10–31 July 2026

Self-administered online-panel questionnaire among resident adult Greek Cypriots.

EthicsΕΕΒΚ ΕΠ 2026.01.96

Favourable opinion from the Cyprus National Bioethics Committee.

Principal InvestigatorProfessor Charis Psaltis

University of Cyprus · Director, UCFS.

Research repository

Reports and supporting workbooks

The downloadable workbooks contain aggregate research tables and methodological notes.