Executive Summary · July 2026

Greek Cypriot Public Opinion on the Cyprus Issue

Summary of the principal findings from the July 2026 survey.

The final weighted analysis covers 824 usable cases, with 779 valid final v4 weights. The findings are organised around substance, baseline hopes and concerns, process, and intercommunal relations.

Substance: 92.4% judge the status quo unfair. BBF is accepted or tolerated by 75.3%, a unitary state by 70.3%, continuation of the status quo by 59.1%, and a two-state solution by 33.3%.

Knowledge and Crans-Montana: 84.9% report at least some knowledge of BBF and 54.4% say they know it quite or very well; these are self-assessments rather than an objective knowledge test. Among respondents making a substantive judgment of the Crans-Montana convergences, 43.5% judge them fair and 56.5% unfair. Separately, 29.1% answer “Don’t know” when asked to assess their fairness.

Baseline hopes and concerns: prominent hopes include property return or compensation (36.8%), freedom of movement and settlement (36.3%) and jobs for young people (23.1%), while 39.0% select none of the proposed hopes. Concerns include refugees not returning to their properties (52.1%), political deadlock or dysfunction (41.8%), daily tensions (28.1%) and cost (19.4%).

Process: 82.8% prefer an active negotiation route; 38.7% select restarting from Crans-Montana, 22.2% citizens’ assemblies, 21.9% staged or interim implementation, and 17.2% prefer not to restart.

Intercommunal relations: 51.7% report no contact with Turkish Cypriots, 32.4% less-than-monthly contact, 15.9% monthly or more and 8.3% weekly or more. Mean warmth is 57.5 on a 0–100 scale, and contact is positively associated with warmth (weighted r=.327). BBF acceptance/tolerance is 70.3% among those reporting no contact and 87.4% among those reporting weekly-or-more contact; the association is correlational.

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